If you look to the right the more observant will notice the sports betting professor has been added to the systems i use at the expense of the morrison system. Why? Well it's all about value for money and the juice. The professor system picks (hate the name but all part of the hype i suppose)are generally available at close to evens (1.9 or 1.83 digital odds) whereas the morrison picks generally run at 1.55, so in short better value for the buck. Both systems run a 3 game chase system and similar success rates (over 90%), but the prof system will cost a lot less should you reach the 2nd or 3rd bet! The morrison system is not good for the faint hearted when the 3rd bet is reached!
The prof system is based on stats on NBA and NFL winning margins, basically which point spreads historically win more often than others home or away. All picks are mailed on the game day in good time.
The only negative is that the author also sends all manner of other sports offers, but i just delete these without reading them- easy enough.
Thursday, 1 April 2010
I'm back
I'm back after a bit of a break. It's surprising how much discipline it takes to keep up a blog.
I've been experimenting with the horses over the last 6 months, wading through bucket loads of data to try to find some stats that can help the lonely sports trader. I think i have some stuff that is usable and am testing it at the moment- we'll see if it lives up to expectations in time.
I've been experimenting with the horses over the last 6 months, wading through bucket loads of data to try to find some stats that can help the lonely sports trader. I think i have some stuff that is usable and am testing it at the moment- we'll see if it lives up to expectations in time.
Friday, 27 November 2009
Tuesday, 24 November 2009
Tuesday
The spread bets evened each other out- one lost and one won.
The bulls let us down so that will roll over to the next game.
I'm out today so i won't be playing- the FTS is all cup games which tend to be to avoid- lots of unusual results that are not worth betting on.
The bulls let us down so that will roll over to the next game.
I'm out today so i won't be playing- the FTS is all cup games which tend to be to avoid- lots of unusual results that are not worth betting on.
Monday, 23 November 2009
Sunday, 22 November 2009
sunday results
Good day all round, the horse was well beaten so a good lay there.
All four of the football fts were easy wins.
All four of the football fts were easy wins.
Sundays action
I'll be using the FTS with Ajax, Hamburg, mallorca and Tottenham today.
My lay bet will be at Aintree 2.20- Fourty Acers, i'll be betting small as the favoutite has been withdrawn but i still think there enough quality left to get this one beaten.
Good luck
My lay bet will be at Aintree 2.20- Fourty Acers, i'll be betting small as the favoutite has been withdrawn but i still think there enough quality left to get this one beaten.
Good luck
Thursday, 29 October 2009
Phoenix won
Phoenix won easily as predicted.
Next morrison is the weekend NFL on TEN ML (although i will be on the spread for value- just waiting on the final line ups!)
Next morrison is the weekend NFL on TEN ML (although i will be on the spread for value- just waiting on the final line ups!)
Wednesday, 28 October 2009
Back after a blog break!!
back blogging...lets see if we can keep it going.
A quick highlight- systems i'm using at the moment
FTS, lowlays, morrisons systems and my own staking systems.
All in all discipline needed to succeed and the long term view.
Todays picks Morrison NHL on Pheonix (B), he says PL (i use ML but use at your own risk)
A quick highlight- systems i'm using at the moment
FTS, lowlays, morrisons systems and my own staking systems.
All in all discipline needed to succeed and the long term view.
Todays picks Morrison NHL on Pheonix (B), he says PL (i use ML but use at your own risk)
Friday, 14 August 2009
14 aug
Betting Champ picks for today
Philli (A)
Boston (A)
Remember to visit our sponsors before leaving!
Philli (A)
Boston (A)
Remember to visit our sponsors before leaving!
Tuesday, 11 August 2009
"He's technically got 3 plays tonight. Two are official.
Official Plays
1) Detroit +1.5 (B) - *** THIS IS NOT A PLAY SINCE DETROIT CLOSED AS +1.5 UNDERDOGS ON BETUS... BEWARE!!! ***
Like most people, I had them as ML faves so I am taking the risk by playing them as +1.5 underdogs. This may work out.
2) Baltimore (B) - Since Baltimore played at home and lost by more than 3 runs, this bet is considered to be part of his V2.0 system. In other words, this is almost the closest thing to a guaranteed play you will find today. However, just keep in mind that Baltimore is by no means a fantastic ball club worth laying big dollars on.
Non Official Plays
1) Cleveland (A) - I think this is a series worth playing.
2) Pittsburgh +1.5 (A) - I would stay away from this one and even consider betting on Colorado. The Pirates have clearly given up on this season."
Official Plays
1) Detroit +1.5 (B) - *** THIS IS NOT A PLAY SINCE DETROIT CLOSED AS +1.5 UNDERDOGS ON BETUS... BEWARE!!! ***
Like most people, I had them as ML faves so I am taking the risk by playing them as +1.5 underdogs. This may work out.
2) Baltimore (B) - Since Baltimore played at home and lost by more than 3 runs, this bet is considered to be part of his V2.0 system. In other words, this is almost the closest thing to a guaranteed play you will find today. However, just keep in mind that Baltimore is by no means a fantastic ball club worth laying big dollars on.
Non Official Plays
1) Cleveland (A) - I think this is a series worth playing.
2) Pittsburgh +1.5 (A) - I would stay away from this one and even consider betting on Colorado. The Pirates have clearly given up on this season."
Monday, 10 August 2009
Sports Betting MLB
Here’s the MLB betting system in detail. As long as you strictly follow my betting guidelines below, you will be winning almost all of your MLB bets.In a nutshell, you will be betting that one team is going to win at least one game in either 3 or 4 gameseries versus an opposing team that has swept them in their most recent series. This is a bet that you will win more than 97% of the time.Before I go into detail on how to make the bets, I will go over the money management system. There are only three bet values you should stick to: Bet A; Bet B; and Bet C.Bet A = Your beginning bet. You can, for example, set your beginning bet to win $100 when you first start outBet B = In case Bet A fails, you make bet B to make up for any loss you’ve sufferedfrom Bet A, plus any profit you would have achieved from bet A. So, if your to-win Bet A was $100, your to-win Bet B can be $200Bet C = In case Bet B fails, you make bet C to make up for any loss you’ve sufferedfrom Bet A plus Bet B, plus profit you would have achieved from bet A. So, if your to-winBet A plus Bet B was $300, your to-win Bet C can be $400There is no Bet D, or E, or anything thereafter. If you lose Bet C, you lose the bet.However, do not be concerned, because losing a Bet C is something that will almost never happen. I’ll talk more about that later. Here’s the betting system:1. Check the MLB results and mark down any series where one team goes winless versus the opposing team (a sweep)2. For the teams that were swept (winless in those series), mark the schedule for their upcoming series versus the same team that swept them previously3. On the first day of the rematch between the two teams, as long as the teamthat was swept previously has an RPI value of no less than .01 than the opposingteam, AND the opposing team is not a top-3 RPI team, make a bet for the team that was swept. (Note: The RPI will be explained in greater details in a later section of this manual)4. If you lose bet A, make bet B on the next day for the same team5. If you lose bet B, make bet C on the next day for the same teamAnd keep this in mind: ALWAYS bet on the money line if the team you’re betting on is the favorite to win (shows -1.5 on the run line). ALWAYS bet on the run line (+1.5 runs) if the team you’re betting on is the underdog (shows +1.5 on the run line). You can check to see which team is the favorite or the underdog by looking at the run line in the bet lineup. A team showing a +1.5 in the run line means they are the underdog. A team showing a -1.5 in the run line means they are the favorite.
The only two columns you’re going to bet on are the Run Line and the Money Line. For example, if the picks on that day were Milwaukee, Atlanta, Florida, Houston, St. Louis, and Arizona, then you would bet where the X’s are located above. We bet on the run line for Milwaukee because their run line shows +1.5. We bet on the run line for Atlanta because their run line shows +1.5. We bet on the money line for the Florida because their run line shows -1.5. We bet on the run line for Houston because their run line shows +1.5. We bet on the money line for the St. Louis because their run line shows -1.5. We bet on the money line for Arizona because their run line shows -1.5.Basically, the rule of thumb is bet on the run line if the run line shows +1.5 for the team you’re betting on, and bet on the money line if the run line shows -1.5 for the team you’re betting on.Keep in mind: Whenever you are betting on the +1.5 run line, you’ll win the bet even if your team loses by 1 run.Check up on the injuries before making a bet. If your team’s best hitter or pitcher is out due to an injury, then you should just pass on that series. Click here for a good place to check for injuries.
Your MLB betting season ends at some point in August, depending on the teamsplaying. I will let you know each year when you should stop making wagers. Youshouldn’t bet on games under the system in September because by that time, theplayoffs may be decided for a number of teams, and not all teams will give 100% intotheir games. In addition, new rookies will be used late in the season as it is a time when teams enlarge their rosters.To check on the MLB schedule, you can do so hereTo check on the sweep records, click here and then at the top left corner where you find the “Team Schedules” dropdown box, just go through each individual teams that are playing on that day (or the upcoming day). There, you will be able to view a complete listing of all their games played that season, and the results.Ignore 2-game series unless the results from the 2-game series further adds to the previous 3 or 4 game sweep. For example:Example#1: Atlanta sweeps Florida in a 3-game series, then sweeps them again in a 2-game series. If they play a 3 game series next time, then that would qualify for a system play on Florida.Example#2: Atlanta sweeps Florida in a 3-game series, then goes 1-1 against Florida a 2-game series. If they play a 3 game series next time, then that would not qualify for a system play.Here is an example from the 2005 season. Let’s say that on 7/29, the Detroit Tigerswent 0-3 vs the Oakland Athletics in their 3-game series. So, you’ll look at the schedule and see that these two teams will play each other again on 8/23. This means that on 8/23, you will bet on the Detroit Tigers to beat the Oakland Athletics in the 3-game series rematch, starting with a $100 bet (or Bet A). On 8/23, Detroit did beat Oakland, therefore you have won bet A. Stop at this point and do not make any more bets in this series. Move on to the next one.But what if Detroit lost to Oakland on 8/23? Then, on the next day (8/24), you’ll make a bet for Detroit again, this time with a $250 (or Bet B) to make up for the loss you’ve suffered yesterday, as well as to win a profit.If Detroit lost to Oakland again on 8/24, then on 8/25 bet $650 (or Bet C) to make up for the losses you’ve suffered on the last 2 days, as well as to win a $100 profitYou must be wondering, what if Detroit loses to Oakland again on 8/25? Well, then that means you lose the bet. I can assure you, however, you will almost never see this happen. In an entire MLB season, as long as you follow my guidelines, your chances oflosing Bet B in any series is less than 10%. Your chances of losing bet C in any game is close to 0%. Bet under these rules and you will profit. Whenever you win a bet in any series, stop and move on to the next one. Have control on yourself, and never bet your entire bankroll on any game. If you have a huge bankroll, your Bet A can start out higher, provided that you have enough in your bankroll to make a Bet B and a Bet C if needed. Similarly, if you have a small bankroll, your Bet A can be smaller.Relative Power Index (RPI)I want to introduce you to the Relative Power Index (RPI). Each team in the MLB israted by an RPI score - the higher the score, the better the team. The RPI is calculated using the team's winning percentage with consideration of the quality of their opponents / strength of their schedule. Luckily, the RPI is calculated for you and kept up-to-date at all time. You can check for each team's RPI score at:http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/rpiWhat you want to do is:1. Pass on any series where the team you’re supposed to wager on has an RPI value that's more than .01 lower than our opponent's.2. Pass on any series where the team you’re supposed to wager on is playing against a team who’s within the top 2 highest ranked RPI teams.
Let’s say that Texas started a 3-game series against Boston, who had swept them previously. Playing according to the system means that we would wager on Texas under the A-B-C money management formula.However, taking a look at the RPI chart we can see that Texas has an RPI score of .503 while Boston has an RPI score of .532. That means Boston is better than Texas by an RPI margin of .029.Since Texas's RPI is more than .01 below their opponent's RPI, we can conclude that they are not reasonably capable of winning against Boston under acceptable risks, therefore we should pass on this series.Final notes: I've extensively back-tested this system over the last 20 years of baseball and have found that the winning rate is almost perfect. As a matter of fact, there has only been one occasion where we would have lost a series in the last 5 years of MLB baseball (2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008).
The only two columns you’re going to bet on are the Run Line and the Money Line. For example, if the picks on that day were Milwaukee, Atlanta, Florida, Houston, St. Louis, and Arizona, then you would bet where the X’s are located above. We bet on the run line for Milwaukee because their run line shows +1.5. We bet on the run line for Atlanta because their run line shows +1.5. We bet on the money line for the Florida because their run line shows -1.5. We bet on the run line for Houston because their run line shows +1.5. We bet on the money line for the St. Louis because their run line shows -1.5. We bet on the money line for Arizona because their run line shows -1.5.Basically, the rule of thumb is bet on the run line if the run line shows +1.5 for the team you’re betting on, and bet on the money line if the run line shows -1.5 for the team you’re betting on.Keep in mind: Whenever you are betting on the +1.5 run line, you’ll win the bet even if your team loses by 1 run.Check up on the injuries before making a bet. If your team’s best hitter or pitcher is out due to an injury, then you should just pass on that series. Click here for a good place to check for injuries.
Your MLB betting season ends at some point in August, depending on the teamsplaying. I will let you know each year when you should stop making wagers. Youshouldn’t bet on games under the system in September because by that time, theplayoffs may be decided for a number of teams, and not all teams will give 100% intotheir games. In addition, new rookies will be used late in the season as it is a time when teams enlarge their rosters.To check on the MLB schedule, you can do so hereTo check on the sweep records, click here and then at the top left corner where you find the “Team Schedules” dropdown box, just go through each individual teams that are playing on that day (or the upcoming day). There, you will be able to view a complete listing of all their games played that season, and the results.Ignore 2-game series unless the results from the 2-game series further adds to the previous 3 or 4 game sweep. For example:Example#1: Atlanta sweeps Florida in a 3-game series, then sweeps them again in a 2-game series. If they play a 3 game series next time, then that would qualify for a system play on Florida.Example#2: Atlanta sweeps Florida in a 3-game series, then goes 1-1 against Florida a 2-game series. If they play a 3 game series next time, then that would not qualify for a system play.Here is an example from the 2005 season. Let’s say that on 7/29, the Detroit Tigerswent 0-3 vs the Oakland Athletics in their 3-game series. So, you’ll look at the schedule and see that these two teams will play each other again on 8/23. This means that on 8/23, you will bet on the Detroit Tigers to beat the Oakland Athletics in the 3-game series rematch, starting with a $100 bet (or Bet A). On 8/23, Detroit did beat Oakland, therefore you have won bet A. Stop at this point and do not make any more bets in this series. Move on to the next one.But what if Detroit lost to Oakland on 8/23? Then, on the next day (8/24), you’ll make a bet for Detroit again, this time with a $250 (or Bet B) to make up for the loss you’ve suffered yesterday, as well as to win a profit.If Detroit lost to Oakland again on 8/24, then on 8/25 bet $650 (or Bet C) to make up for the losses you’ve suffered on the last 2 days, as well as to win a $100 profitYou must be wondering, what if Detroit loses to Oakland again on 8/25? Well, then that means you lose the bet. I can assure you, however, you will almost never see this happen. In an entire MLB season, as long as you follow my guidelines, your chances oflosing Bet B in any series is less than 10%. Your chances of losing bet C in any game is close to 0%. Bet under these rules and you will profit. Whenever you win a bet in any series, stop and move on to the next one. Have control on yourself, and never bet your entire bankroll on any game. If you have a huge bankroll, your Bet A can start out higher, provided that you have enough in your bankroll to make a Bet B and a Bet C if needed. Similarly, if you have a small bankroll, your Bet A can be smaller.Relative Power Index (RPI)I want to introduce you to the Relative Power Index (RPI). Each team in the MLB israted by an RPI score - the higher the score, the better the team. The RPI is calculated using the team's winning percentage with consideration of the quality of their opponents / strength of their schedule. Luckily, the RPI is calculated for you and kept up-to-date at all time. You can check for each team's RPI score at:http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/rpiWhat you want to do is:1. Pass on any series where the team you’re supposed to wager on has an RPI value that's more than .01 lower than our opponent's.2. Pass on any series where the team you’re supposed to wager on is playing against a team who’s within the top 2 highest ranked RPI teams.
Let’s say that Texas started a 3-game series against Boston, who had swept them previously. Playing according to the system means that we would wager on Texas under the A-B-C money management formula.However, taking a look at the RPI chart we can see that Texas has an RPI score of .503 while Boston has an RPI score of .532. That means Boston is better than Texas by an RPI margin of .029.Since Texas's RPI is more than .01 below their opponent's RPI, we can conclude that they are not reasonably capable of winning against Boston under acceptable risks, therefore we should pass on this series.Final notes: I've extensively back-tested this system over the last 20 years of baseball and have found that the winning rate is almost perfect. As a matter of fact, there has only been one occasion where we would have lost a series in the last 5 years of MLB baseball (2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008).
Sunday, 19 July 2009
Saturday, 18 July 2009
Friday, 17 July 2009
Thursday, 16 July 2009
Wednesday, 15 July 2009
Johns got a pick out tonight
John from the Sport betting champ has another pick out tonight. Remember he's 20-0 for the MLB season this year.
I was asked about the 97% winning rate recently, remember thats on a 3 bet series- 60% win on the first bet, 84% on the second and 97% by the third. Each series is found by trawling through stats going back 10 years. Last years NBA went unbeaten and the same for MLB this year so far.
I was asked about the 97% winning rate recently, remember thats on a 3 bet series- 60% win on the first bet, 84% on the second and 97% by the third. Each series is found by trawling through stats going back 10 years. Last years NBA went unbeaten and the same for MLB this year so far.
Tuesday, 14 July 2009
14 july
Not much action tonight so no pick, although i do thing the all star game will end in the Under 9,5
Sunday, 12 July 2009
Bookie Buster
Frank runs this site, again very reliable. This site deals with variations on the martingale staking systems that have been used for a century. The martingale (doubling up until you win) will lose at some point where as this site brings variations and safeguards to protect your bank. I've used these systems for 2 years now and these systems provide a safe and steady income at low risk.
There is also a daily pick included which can be used in the system to ensure a good income.
Bookie Buster
There is also a daily pick included which can be used in the system to ensure a good income.
Bookie Buster
Sports Betting Champ
Regarding the Sports Betting Champ below i have only one reservation and that is regards the sports book to use. If you are not US based then i suggest a EU book would be more secure.
John (who runs the site) recommends the BetUs book (as he receives a % of everything his clients deposit!), just be aware that BetUs is an offshore book that has not the best reputation on the forums. If you already have a sports book that you trust then use that- if not then i use Bet365 (link below) who provide a regulated and secure service and offer a sign up bonus (varies depending on your location).
John (who runs the site) recommends the BetUs book (as he receives a % of everything his clients deposit!), just be aware that BetUs is an offshore book that has not the best reputation on the forums. If you already have a sports book that you trust then use that- if not then i use Bet365 (link below) who provide a regulated and secure service and offer a sign up bonus (varies depending on your location).
Sports betting champ
I've been using this system for two years now and it's proven reliable on the NBA and MLB seasons. I can verify that the claims made on the website are correct. The selections are e-mailed to your address on the day in good time.
Click Here!
Click Here!
Welcome
If you've ended up at this blog then i guess that you've already had some experience of the sports betting world- good and bad. I've been experimenting with different systems for about three years now, had my fingers burnt a few times, but am now earning a good and steady income using proven systems.
My incentive for writing this blog is simply to make my experiences known so others so that everybody doesn't have to make the same mistakes.
My incentive for writing this blog is simply to make my experiences known so others so that everybody doesn't have to make the same mistakes.
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